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Neocloud Shares and CoreWeave Bonds Fall as Wall Street Rallies on Democratic Sweep

The main US indices opened higher after the midterms, but investors sold debt-funded GPU cloud providers with exposure to Texas, where the incoming governor backs a moratorium on data centres.

By Nakoda News Desk

·3 min read

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US stocks opened higher on Wednesday after Democrats won control of both chambers of Congress. Companies building AI data centres moved the other way, and CoreWeave's bonds fell to new lows in some cases, according to Bloomberg.

Al Jazeera reported that the Nasdaq opened up 1 per cent, the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 1.8 per cent and the S&P 500 up 1.1 per cent. Retailers that depend on imports gained on expectations of changes to tariff policy, and investors were also encouraged by President Donald Trump's post saying he would accept the results. Oracle and Nvidia opened lower, while Alphabet rose 3.5 per cent at the opening bell.

The heaviest selling hit the neoclouds, the newer and often debt-financed firms that rent out GPU capacity. The Information reported that CoreWeave and Nebius dropped on Wednesday morning even as most technology stocks rose, which suggests investors saw the results as particularly bad for newer cloud firms compared with established providers such as Amazon and Microsoft.

By midday, 24/7 Wall St. reported, IREN was down 5 per cent at $23.33, CoreWeave down 4 per cent at $51.73 and Nebius down 2 per cent at $147.92. All three had already lost between 38 per cent and 44 per cent over the past month. Applied Digital, whose main campuses are in North Dakota, avoided the sell-off.

Credit Markets Feel It Too

Bloomberg reported that CoreWeave's bonds tumbled on Wednesday, some to new lows, after Democratic candidates who favour slowing data centre construction won several governors' races, including Texas. The company leans heavily on debt to fund GPU capacity and rents some of it through partner facilities in Texas. Weakness in its bonds therefore points to wider concern about whether the most leveraged parts of the AI build-out can keep raising money if permits and power connections become harder to get.

Texas is the main worry. Democrat Gina Hinojosa won the governor's race after campaigning for tighter limits on new data centres, including a statewide moratorium. Wells Fargo estimates that Texas accounts for 27 per cent of planned US data centre gigawatts, compared with 7 per cent for Georgia and 5 per cent each for Pennsylvania and Ohio, according to 24/7 Wall St. Before the vote, Wells Fargo's Ohsung Kwon had warned that a Democratic win in Texas could be a "left-tail event" for the AI trade.

Dan Ives of Yorkville Ives called the Texas race the "biggest worry" of the night for AI investors. "There is no way to sugarcoat that Democrats taking control, especially over the Senate, will create some major hurdles for AI and tech legislation in the Beltway over the next two years," he wrote in a note quoted by Al Jazeera. In a post on X he added: "We estimate 10% of datacenters will not happen now."

Pressure Was Already Building

The neoclouds were weak before the election. A Gartner report predicting that 80 per cent of neocloud firms will cease operations by 2030 had already weighed on the group. Local votes added to the pressure: Engadget reported that measures restricting data centres passed in 33 of 45 local ballot contests across 10 states, according to the tracking site Data Centers on the Ballot.

For Gulf investors and sovereign funds that have put money into US AI infrastructure, the split matters. The market is now separating cash-rich hyperscalers from leveraged specialists whose growth depends on getting new sites approved and connected to the grid, and Texas, the largest of those markets, now has a governor who wants to pause new projects.

Sources

  • Bloomberg · CoreWeave Bonds Hit New Lows as Texas Data Centers in Crosshairs
  • Al Jazeera · US markets rise as Democrats sweep midterm elections
  • The Information · Chip Stocks and Neoclouds Sell Off on Election Results
  • 24/7 Wall St. · IREN Falls 5%, CoreWeave Drops 4% as Texas Election Stokes Data Center Moratorium Fears; Nebius Dips 2%
  • Engadget · Americans overwhelmingly voted against data centers in the midterms

Produced with AI assistance from the sources above. How we work

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Nakoda News Desk

Nakoda News covers AI and business. Every story links the sources it draws on; how we work is set out in our editorial standards.

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